I haven’t written anything on the situation in Egypt because I have no more foresight than any of the other guessers out there. I will say that I’m not extraordinarily optimistic. I don’t see Mohamed El-Baradei as being an able, confidence-inspiring alternative (my recollection is that he considerably underestimated Iranian nuclear capabilities when he was Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency - he has been called an Iranian tool by some - and is just generally a specimen of international bureaucrat who probably lacks the acumen to navigate the tricky, and frequently violent, waters of Middle Eastern politics).
What about the Muslim Brotherhood? They’ve been around since the 1920s and have a strong social network, although they’ve never coalesced as a political party. If you believe the Brookings Institution, meh, they’re nothing to really worry about (pardon me while I laugh sardonically). Whether this Islamist outfit could overcome resistance by Egypt’s sizable (though not majority) secularist population remains to be seen.
I welcome reader observations and opinions. What do you think is going on? How do you think it will all fall out?
Update: More from Stacy on the the Muslim Brotherhood.