"Is Europe kaput? Washington says this is Europe’s last chance to choose".
The Trump administration’s 2025 National Security Strategy dropped last week, and if you are in Brussels or Berlin, you might want to pour yourself a stiff drink before reading it. This is not the usual diplomatic pablum about “shared values” and “transatlantic partnership.” This is an ultimatum dressed up as strategy, but will Europe listen?
The diagnosis is brutal but accurate: Continental Europe’s share of global GDP has collapsed from 25 per cent in 1990 to 14 per cent today. Cratering birthrates, migration-driven social fragmentation, and what the document calls “the real and more stark prospect of civilisational erasure” threaten to make the continent “unrecognisable in 20 years or less.” Washington’s message is simple: America will help defend a Europe that believes in itself, but not a civilisational hospice.
Europe is engaging in cultural suicide, and the EU is greasing the skids. It is, indeed, getting more difficult to see where America has a genuine interest in preserving some secular version of the late Holy Roman Empire.
H/T: Friend and commenter JeffS
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